Prof. univ. dr. Constantin ANGHELACHE
Academia de Studii Economice, Bucureşti, Universitatea “ARTIFEX” din Bucureşti
Drd. Cristina SACALĂ
Academia de Studii Economice, Bucureşti
Abstract
În realizarea prognozelor macroeconomice, ca descrieri formale ale evenimentelor viitoare, se pot utiliza diverse modele, de complexitate şi arie de cuprindere diferite, mergând până la aplicarea de tehnici şi modele sofisticate din instrumentarul statisticii şi econometriei. Pentru a ridica nivelul de semnificaţie al prognozelor, cei care le realizează nu aplică un singur mode, aşadar modelele formale şi informale se constituie ca factori de influenţă ai prognozei finale.
Key words: prognosis, econometrics, significance, factor, rate
Theoretical model used for macroeconomic analysis
Abstract
For the purpose of achieving macroeconomic prognoses, as formal descriptions of the future events, various models can be utilized, of different degrees of complexity and covering areas, up to the application of sophisticated techniques and models out of the instruments range of the statistics and econometrics domain. In order to rise the significance level of the prognoses, those achieving them do not apply only one model, so that the formal and informal models are constituting themselves as influence factors of the final prognosis.
Key words: prognosis, econometrics, significance, factor, rate
