Prof. univ. dr. habil. Gheorghe SĂVOIU
Conf. univ. dr. Emil BURTESCU
Lector univ. dr. Marian ȚAICU
Ec. Ligian TUDOROIU
Ec. Adelina-Suzana MARINA
Rezumat
Investigarea opiniilor unor alegători asupra unor teme electorale mereu în schimbare, cu candidaţi aparţinând unor partide politice, dar şi independenți, de interes pentru electoratul unui mic oraş, printr-un sondaj derulat efectiv în decursul anului 2016, alături de tema intens dezbătută, a profilului candidatului independent potențial învingător la alegerile locale au reprezintat sinteza cercetării din acest articol, axat pe teoria sondajului și mai ales pe erorile cauzate de empatie ale prelevărilor subievctive sau semidirijate ale eșantioanelor concrete. Articolul reușește să sublinieze cat de mari pot fi abaterile de la realitatea electorală, atunci cand cercetările prin sondaj devin subiective, apelând la grupuri de investigatori din componența echipei de campanie a candidaților.
Cuvinte cheie: sondaj electoral, candidat indepent, eroare de prelevare de tip empatic, profil candidat independent
Typology and level of a number of errors caused by the effect of sympathy and empathy in sampling
Abstract
Investigation of voters’ opinions concerning always changing electoral issues, with candidates belonging to political parties, and also independent candidates of interest to voters in a small town, which was effectively conducted in the year 2016, alongside of the intensely debated theme of the profile of an independent candidate, a potential winner in local elections – that was the synthesis of the research presented in this article, focused on the survey theory, and especially on empathy-caused errors in subjctive or half-guided manner of taking concrete samples. The article manages to emphasize how large can deviations from electoral reality be when sample surveys become subjective, calling on groups of investigators who are part of the candidates’ campaign team.
Keywords: election poll, independent candidate, sampling error of an empathetic type, independent candidate profile