Associate Professor PhD Elisabeta R. ROŞCA (elisabeta.rosca@usm.ro)
University „Ștefan cel Mare” of Suceava, Faculty of Economics, Administration and Business
Abstract
Institutions that publish significant volumes of statistical data in the domain of European and international tourism, such as National Institute of Statistics, Eurostat and the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO), attach great importance to the tourism indicators such as international tourist arrivals and international tourist receipts, due to their direct effect on the economy, on the formation of gross domestic product (GDP), finally. The purpose of this study is to highlight what are the main tourist regions in the EU Member States and what is their past and future contribution to the formation of national tourist demand, on the basis of the total tourist arrivals (domestic and foreign tourists) indicator, in relative or absolute expression. Work presents the statistical methodology used for the quantitative analysis of the total tourist arrivals indicator in the EU Member States and in the main tourist regions and the forecast of the market share of the total regional tourist demand using analytical models of time series, these constituting also contributions to the study of tourism in the community space.
Keyword: statistics of tourism, quantitative analysis, time series, forecast, Member States.
JEL Classification: C22, O11, R12.
